Thursday, July 11, 2013

Jr A End of Season Primer

The OLA Jr A season is coming down to the final day with two huge games that could impact nearly all the playoff seedings. Lets take a look at the possibilities starting with the the really easy game.

Burlington at Whitby- Friday at 8pm.

Chiefs hold a 1 point lead over the Warriors so a Chiefs Win or Tie clinches them second spot and a matchup with Barrie in the first round. A Whitby Win vaults them over Burlington into second place and Barrie for playoffs.

Peterborough at Brampton- Friday at 8pm

Here is where things get fun. A Brampton Win gives them 4th spot, Orangeville 5th and the Lakers will be 6th.

A Lakers win leaves Brampton, Orangeville and Peterborough tied with 24 points and brings in the 3-Team Tiebreaker. Thankfully this tiebreaker does not need to go beyond the head to head to head records. A Peterborough win gives them a 3-1 record vs Brampton and Orangeville and 4th place. Brampton would be 5th place with their 2-2 record (having split season series vs both opponents). The sinking Northmen would fall to 6th spot and a matchup with the loser of the Burlington/Whitby game.

(Update: Some confusion now on whether the Jr A league uses the head to head to head record or goes straight to the Goal Formula in OLA Constitution. Regardless of the tie breaker method, if Peterborough wins in Brampton on Friday they will be 4th, Brampton 5th and Orangeville 6th. The current GF% for each is 0.607 for Lakers, 0.508 for Excelsiors and 0.419 for Northmen and a Peterborough win can only improve their number and subtract for Brampton's number....though it would take a monumental blowout by around 15 goals to drop them to 6th.)

Plenty to watch on Friday night in the GTA with a wild Jr A season coming down to the wire. We'll be watching to see how it falls out and look for our quick playoff preview on Saturday!

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